tt This Week August 8, 1990. Page M7 FUTURE WATCH S modern com- munications, through new tech- nologies, operate @ 54 the speed of light and radically change the way people see their nation “tribe”, many more countries will be created during the coming decades. Flag designers and manufacturers will just love it. Hiiit DEIOMOrOW By FRANK OGDEN Large, land-mass countries, created through conquests of the past drafted international bor- ders that ignored natural “tribal” boundaries. Such countries including the U.S.S.R., China, India, Canada @and the U.S.A., will fracture. The results will be many benefits and a few dangers. For most countries, existing international boundaries were established via military con- quest. Many of these regions are undergoing political turmoil today. The U.S.S.R. is really 16 “countries”. By the turn of the century perhaps 40 per cent of Soviet citizens will be Moslem — religious traditionalists in an atheist country. For various political and military reasons, the Soviet Union has placed most of her nuclear weapons in Shiite Muslim Azerbaijan. With the unrest there today, it isn’t a big stretch of the imagination to see a transfer of such weapons, in a quick, bold move, to neigh- boring Iran. The population of China is mainly Han-Chinese — roughly just over one billion of them. But where are the majority of their nuclear weapons positioned? In the area inhabited by six million non-Hans. An obvious and as yet unrecog- nized feature of the recent hype over South Africa and Nelson Mandella being “recognized” as the black leader in South Africa belies the facts. Mandella belongs to the Xhosa tribe, one of the smallest, with about 1.5 million members. Zulu Chief Gotha Bethulazi, not Mandella, will decide, when he is ready, what will happen in that lovely land. Bethulazi leads Inka- tha, the political arm of seven million Zulus. Chief Behtulazi is an intelligent, well- educated politician and lead- er. No one, repeat no one, has ever conquered the Zulus’s. Not the British, not the Boers nor any other African black tribe. By sheer numbers alone, not to mention their superior organizational qual- ities ( see the film Shaxta which is fairly true to history as an example), military disci- pline and physical and phyco- logical strength the Zulus ex- cel. The Impis, legendary Zu- lu warriors, continually sur- prised the Bitish during their occupation of South Africa, by moving massive armies great distances overland, with min- imum supplies, during war- time maneuvers. Since the distant past, friction between the Hindu and Muslim populations on the Indian sub- continent has been everlasting. Since the British took over in 1858, they provided the or- ganizational structure that kept the two historically-opposing factions working alongside one another. The British departure in August 1947 uncorked the genie in that bottle. Pakistan was created, and then breakaway Bangladesh was formed. Now Kashmir is in revolt, Sikhs hold sway in that and other areas and southern Tamils are in revolt at home and in neighboring Sri Lanka, And other ethnic minorities by the dozens want their own “home”. Everywhere, ethnic groups are seeking “self-determination”. They all have new (or old) dreams and aspirations. TRINIDAD AND TOBAGO - =< UNION OF SOVIET. UNITED ARAB EMIRATES UNITED KINGDOM SOCIALIST, REPUBLICS Colonies, empires and countries formed by decision, not negotia- tion, are under attack. It is not just in the developing nations either. In America, the burgeon- ing Hispanic population in New York, Florida, California, New Mexico, Arizona and Colorado is starting to use its clout. In these areas, the signs of striving towards some form of Hispanic “nationhood” are readily ap- parent. English-speaking Canadians TUNISIA, Asunrise industry — creating new flags are well aware that their im- pression of a “conquered” Quebec isn’t working out the way our grandparents and teachers and history books claimed. Canada will fracture before the decade ends. Held together by political and economic bribery, Canada has =Ers SURINAME ‘SWAZILAND. SWEDEN URUGUAY UNITED STATES. always been an artificial nation buffeted by the unwieldy geog- raphy: These ruptures aren't merely local phenomenon. Nationalism is now an outmoded concept. The tide has changed. It is now easier for a “tribe” to swim towards independence than it was in the past to submit to domination. 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