World What to do about Soviet agriculture? This question seems pretty close to the boiling point these days, and major structu- ral changes are expected out of the upcom- ing full plenary meeting of the Communist Party’s central committee which will review agrarian policy. In the press, among the 24 million or so farmers who work the USSR’s 46,000 col- lective (kolkhoz) and state (sovkhoz) farms, as well as among consumers jostling for food products in the nation’s grocery shops, there is evident frustration and a strong tendency to reach for panaceas. Underlying much of the discussion is a widespread feel- ing that collective agriculture in the Soviet Union has been a failure. Has it? There is probably no knottier problem to be worked out in the course of perestroika. Sorting out agriculture is a complex debate which has become a matter of immediate political necessity. A major contributing factor to the gen- eral sense of dissatisfaction has been a number of recent serious efforts — as well as some not particularly serious ones — to review and analyze the seminal event: the collectivization drive of the early 1930s. Soviets are gradually coming to see collec- tivization as an ultra-leftist campaign which swept away age-old rural structures, traum- atized the peasantry, and exacted a fearful cost in lives and productive means. The scars still run deep in the Soviet countryside. More damaging to the long-term pers- pectives of Soviet agriculture were the fol- lowing decades of neglect. Some advances ~ [shee Se aie Seas Perestroika down on the farm many of the world’s most northerly metro- politan centres. Moscow, a city of 10 mil- lion, shares the same latitude with Fort Severn, on Hudson’s Bay. Leningrad, with around five million people, is roughly paral- lel with Anchorage, Alaska. Even Kiev, in the heart of the Ukrainian “breadbasket,” is as far north as Sioux Lookout, Ontario, and Winnipeg, Manitoba. Of those Soviet zones that lie to the south, a greater part is steppe- land plagued with perennial water shor- tages. Given this, the record of Soviet farming is probably not so bad as it is routinely painted in the West and lately, very sharply, in the heat of Soviet discussions about the subject. Indeed, where the state has targeted Particular crops for priority development — such as grain, cotton, sunflowers and Sugar beets — harvest yields have been as high or higher than those in comparable North American territories. To take the bottom line, per capita con- sumption of key dietary items in the Soviet Union have been climbing steadily. The average Soviet diet is still far too heavy in fats and starches, and deficient in fresh fruits and vegetables. But taken in comparison with, say, 1950, or even 1960, the improve- ment has been nothing short of stunning. Examined from other angles, however, the present crisis of Soviet agriculture becomes more evident, and alarming. Yields of many crops which have not been accorded priority status in the planners’ schemes fall dismally short of harvests obtained on analogous North American Fred Weir of education, sanitation and mechanization were brought into rural areas, but basically those Stalin-era propaganda images of modern industrial farmers revolutionizing the countryside on the basis of the most modern technology were fraudulent. Stali- nism created long-lived structures of admi- nistrative control which were effective at organizing every aspect of the peasantry’s life, and extracting the surplus, but which gave very little back. The countryside was seen as an arena from which to pump resources into the industrialization effort. Both consumption and farm investment languished. Khrushchev significantly increased invest- ment in agriculture, and also tried to reform the system. Under Brezhnev, investment increased sharply and results were achieved too: between 1964 and 1970, Soviet farm output rose at a healthy annual rate of almost four per cent. However, the Brezh- nev leadership abandoned early attempts at structural innovation, and continued merely throwing money at the problem. Between 1970 and the early 1980s, agricultural investment rose from less than 20 to over 30 per cent of the state budget, while the annual growth in farm production fell to barely one per cent. Diminishing returns — a trend which has been arrested but not yet turned around — is the clearest indication that the system itself has reached its limits of growth. When considering this tangle of ques- tions, no one should underestimate the extent of the natural challenge faced by Soviet farmers. A country of some 285 mil- lion people, the USSR has roughly twice the territory of the United States, but less than half the agricultural potential. More than two-thirds of the Soviet Union lies above the 50th parallel, including FROM MOSCOW farmlands. Energy and resource inputs tend to be much higher on Soviet farms per unit of output. 3 Far from withering away after the death of Stalin, the agricultural bureaucracy seems to have multiplied itself, and become a vast, multi-layered, multi-armed machine overseeing and instructing the farm man- agements and workers on virtually every aspect of their operations. “‘Had food pro- duction grown in: direct proportion to the weight of official papers spawned by the State agro-industrial committee,” quips Novosti press analyst Alexander Kretov, “the food program would have long ago been overfulfilled.” Decades of stifling central management have bred an epidemic of apathy and waste. For example, 10 per cent of all fertilizer is “lost” between factory and field. The USSR is the world’s largest producer of tractors and combines — which, by the way, are good enough to compete on the North American market — yet due to lackadaisi- cal maintenance, the service life of a Soviet - tractor is far shorter on a Soviet farm than on a Canadian one. The really scandalous figure was divulged by Mikhail Gorbachev during last Novem- ber’s agrarian conference in Oryol: some 30 per cent of all Soviet farm produce is lost or wasted in stages between harvest and groc- ery counter. This brings the problem to its full dimen- sions. A major — if not the major — aspect of the Soviet food predicament lies in the general lack of infrastructure, of storage, transport, processing and distribution facili- ties. The United States, for instance, has 7:4 times more mileage of paved roads than does the USSR. Large Soviet cities have shockingly few large industrial dairies, can- ning plants and other processing factories. TASS PHOTOS — S. METELITSA AGRICULTURAL RE—STRUCTURING ... Vasily Starodubtsev (above) heads a new venture, an amalgamation of co-operative farms and industrial enterprises which is self-managed and self-financed. At top, one of the co-op’s farm units auctions off bulls, produced through Canadian genetic technology. Raw produce is generally sent straight to thousands of small grocery stores, where it is weighed and measured out to individual customers — an incredibly labour-intensive and time-consuming process that literally invites waste and theft, and contributes more than anything else to those long and frustrating shopping line-ups. As the upcoming central committee ple- num will show, the CPSU has identified the food problem as key to unravelling all other economic and consumer knots. Gorbachev sums it up with his characteristic bluntness: “It is simply obvious that we cannot advance any further if we do not solve this problem,” he told the Oryol conference. One line of attack, already begun, is to sharply increase investment in infrastruc- ture, to build up a modern distribution sys- tem. This, however, is an expensive, complicated and long-term effort which will clearly not bring quick returns. Further- more, in this age when the Soviet govern- ment openly admits the dangers of deficit-financing and fuelling inflationary pressures, it is finally understood that investments have to be selective and hard- nosed. Second, and long overdue, the CPSU will probably decide to step up the struggle to dismantle the vast, multi-layered bureau- cracy which sits on the backs of Soviet farmers and dictates their every move. Most Soviet farms have already been shifted to profit-and-loss cost accounting, and the intention is to wean them from the massive state subsidies that until now obscure the effectiveness of their work. Instead, farmers will be offered higher prices through state orders for their produce, and wider free- doms to market their surpluses on their own. Finally, and most controversially, collec- tive and state farms are being encouraged to break down their operations and parcel out land and functions to teams, or individual families, who will take all the risks, make all the decisions, and keep all the profits. This is the “family contract,” or leasing system, which in experiments has shown that it can rapidly and substantially increase produc- tion. The political temptations of this, at least at the moment, seem to outweigh its potential social dangers, and farmers are being guaranteed 50-year tenure of the land to go into contract forms of work. Moreover, to many this seems an histori- cally just way to address the problem. In the Soviet press, and other forums, the cry has gone up that “‘we have ‘un-peasanted’ the land,” — the answer to which is, appar- ently, that it must be re-peasanted. Some are arguing quite openly that the Soviet Union still requires some analogue of a capitalist agrarian revolution, in which innovative, efficient producers will be per- mitted to take control of and aggregate the land, forcing off lazy or inefficient produc- ers. The Soviet countryside is clearly on the threshold of profound and _ sweeping changes. But will the transformation lead it forward to a truly modern, industrial social- ist agriculture. or backward to a nostalgic replay of the 1920s, only taking a different road? Pacific Tribune, March 20, 1989 e 9