mn ODAY, in China, as the time for spring offen- sives arrives, the mili- tary situation south of the Yangtze worries the eee minds of Washington Nanking far more than the remote possibility that the Kuo- mintang might be able to retain a foothold in North China, through the large scale use of air power, as advocated by General Chen- nault. Today, the Yangtze Basin holds high hopes for the Chinese People. It also holds what may be the most dangerous threat of American intervention on a com- bat basis since V-J Day. North of the Yangtze lie three Sreat units of the People’s Army of Liberation, They are command- €d by Chen Kung, by Chen Yi and by Liu PoCheng, the one-eyed raider who has spent the last two years executing lightning maneu vers that sometimes threatened ' the gates of Nanking, sometimes Hankow and sometims the Szech- wan border far to the west. A year ago, those armies were on the open offensive only part of the time. Today, they have affect- €d a triple junction and have cleared a wide area of Kuomintang troops. From north Kiangsu prov- ince to south Shensi, 1,200 miles, and from north of the Lunghia railroad to the banks of the Yang- tze, 600 miles, they have made it Possible for the Democratic gov- ernument to implement the new land policies in behalf of the peas- ants without interruption by Chiang’s military forces. There have been more direct, Specific preparations. During the Past year, elements of Liu Po- cheng have crossed the Yangtse Several times at different places in small strength to carry out re- connaissance in force. Last win- ter” General Liu took and held Positions along the river near Hankow in spite of Chiang’s most Vigorous efforts to dislodge him. Those positions may easily be the Springboard for the large-scale ctossing operations when they come. Now, for two months since Feb- Tuary 1, the three armies have hot engaged in any offensives, In- Stead, they are reported. resting, reorganizing and recruiting, while in south China peasant revolts against Chiang have broken out With new intensity. Those revolts will pin down thousands of Kuo- mintang garrison , troops that might be brought to the Yangtze 88 reserves to help oppose the Crossing operation. WHEN will the crossing come? Rumors in Shanghai and Nanking put the date somewhere in May. The facts of the Yangtze valley make an early date plaus- ible enough, but there are other facts about the situation far to the north which must have a dir- ect bearing on the operation of the three armies in the south. The answer may be in Manchuria. _The People’s Aimy of Libera- ‘on now holds 99 per cent; of Manchuria. Changchun, the capi- tal, and Mukden are the only im- Portant centres it has not captur- €d, and of more than ‘seven full armies of Kuomintang troops transported there by American Shipping, only the four American- trained, American-equipped div- ‘sions of the Kuomintang General §8n Han-chieh remain as a for- ™Midable fighting force. It_is more than likely that the spring offen- Sive in Manchuria will have the des Yuction of these four divisions as its object. When that campaign is com- Pleted, Chinese Communist troops will certainly pour across the Nie Wall into North China to etn the forces of the famous Chin-Cha-Chi base mop up Kuo- Sane pockets of resistance in he Peiping, Tientsin and north Shantung areas. Then, as if by chain reaction, the . impetus of the offensive _ By HENRY A. STIMMS When the Communists cross the Yangtze action, secure in the knowledge that, from the Yangtze to Siberia, Chiang had no force capable »of attacking. (CHIANG KAI-SHEK has shown that he fully appreciates the tremendous power of this rising tide. On March 18, he called a meet- ing in Nanking of his most ap: portant military and political leaders for the purpose of devis- ing means to oppose the crossing when it comes. Among those pres- eat were Chen Li-Fu, chief power of the notorious “C, C. Clique”; General Pai’ Chung-hsi, minister of defense, and, of course, Cheng Kai-min, head of the Kuomintang Gestapo. Chiang is reported to have told that meeting, “Unless we awake and do everything in our power to prevent the Yangtze crossing, | our days are numbered.” But is everything in the Kuo- mintang power enough? Chiang sits in the same Position, militar- ily and ideologically, as did Hitler before the Normandy landing. From Ichang to the Yangtze's mouth is 1,000 miles, and Chiang has ‘the choice of either trying to spread his troops thin enough to meet the crossing wherever it may come, or of preparing a de- fense in depth with a mobile force which might try to obliterate a beachhead. But Hitler had more than 20 miles of the turbulent English Channel as an obstacle for his opposition, Chiang has only a mile of muddy water, nego- tiable by sampan in a half-hour and dark night. Further, Europe is not China, and a defense by depth would be endangered by people’s revolts in every province where the land- ing might come. Hither plan will be endangered by lack of enthus- iasm among Chiang’s troops for any kind of battle with the Com-- munists—so great now that even Senator Vandenberg has felt it necessary to suppress news of it. The experience of the Yellow River last August has showed Chiang that allowing the people’s army any kind of beachhead may be most disastrous. Eight weeks after the initial crossings had been effected by the Communist- Jed troops, the Democratic gov- ernment had been installed in an area one-half the size of France. e N his dilemma, Chiang would like nothing better than that the U.S. navy provide gunboats to patrol the Yangtze and that the U.S. Army Air Force be prepared to help him resist the Yangtze crossing. General Wedemeyer, who has never advocated anything but military force as U.S. policy in China, apparently saw the possi- bilities of the Yangtze crossing long ago when, he advocated Chi- ang’s withdrawal into South Chi- na. The appointment of T. V. Soong as governor of Kwangtung province and as chief of the Gen- eralissimo’s headquarters is Can- ton, the building of Formosa as a military base, President Tru- man’s advocacy of a $60,000,000 loan to rebuild the Canton-Han- kow railroad, and the plans of the National Resources Commission to build factories in Kiangsi and Hunan provinces are all pieces that fit into the picture of the Wedemeyer plan. That plan calls for a _ strong Kuomintang base in South China, from which Chiang may launch campaigns against the People's Army in the future when Ameri- can officers.and American arms have rebuilt his army. So it is this base that American imperialism will fight hardest to defend, and the threat to ‘that base of the Yangtze crossing, once it is ac- complished, will alse carry the strongest threat to date that Am- erican troops may be thrown against the Chinese people by would-be world conquerors in Washington. For already. the people’s forces in Kwangtung are reported as holding and governing 70 per cent of the rural areas of the province. Does this have a familiar ring? OvR Nuremberg autopsy of Hitler Germany exploded some popular misconceptions concerning the rise of Naziism. One of the most widely held myths is that when Nazism ar- rived in Germany, it came full blown—to a people predisposed to its virus, _ The truth, however, is quite different. And because I feel that there are some omnious and sickening __ parallels between Germany, 1933, and America to- day, I think it would be helpful briefly to retrace the principal stages along the road to Hit- ler’s seizure of power. To begin with it must be re- called that the Nazis’ coup detat im January, 1933, was achieved without their ever re- ceiving a majority vote; in fact, between the elections held in July, and again in November 1932—the eve of the coup—the Nazi party had lost some two million votes. How then did Hit- ler accomplish his advent to power? : The decisive tactic used by the Nazis to divide and conquer the opposition was that old, but ever effective bugaboo, the red scare, The German press and radio were inundated with tales of at- rocities, of the Reichstag fire, of plots to deliver up the Ger- man folk to Russia. The cam- paign was so effective that, af- ter a while the mere use of the epithet “Communist” produced: a mechanical blind hate reac- tion. Having created this condition- al reflex the Nazi propaganda machine proceeded to the second step: the label “Communist” was pinned indiscriminately on all opponents of the Nazi party in- cluding, ironically enough, the inveterate enemies of the Com- munists, the Social Democrats. It was unnecessary to prove the charge—it was enough to make it. In spite of a popular illusion. to the contrary, Hitler was punc- tilious in disarming his enemies by “legal” means—at least dur- ing the early days of his regime. It isn’t. that he particularly wanted to be legalistic, but the German people, like our own, were€ great believers in their laws and in their constitution. One of the first laws passed in the spring of 1933 outlawed the Communist Party and de- nied jobs. to all Communists. Soon thereafter the Social De- mocratic party was dissolved. This took care of the organ- ized: opposition, but there were still dissenters whose only crime was that they were critics of the regime. How to take care of -them;—legally, mind you. The resourceful Nazis cooked up a néw one. It was called the Loy- alty act—does it have a familiar ring? That law provided loss of job and penalties for those found to have “... Violated their duty of loyal- ty to the Reich and the German people”, Every whisper of dissent was interpreted as disloyalty and was punished by that effective form — of economic pressure, loss of em- — ployment. - Thus the Nazis proceeded by legal means, ostensibly aimed at the Communists but actually de- signed to eliminate the last vestige of opposition in German, until the only voices left were — those of Hitler, Goebbels, Goer-— ing and Company. % : It is a tested historical phe- nomenon that, once the disinte- grating process of civil liberties sets in, whether the avowed target is the Christian or | the Communist, or whoever, it tends to continue until all civil liberties are destroyed. It is a aS Nazi industrialists at Nurem-__ berg. e PACIFIC TRIBUNE—MAY 7, 1948—PAGE 7