World By MIGUEL FIGUEROA and JUDY ANDROSOFF EXICO CITY, Mex- ico — Outstripping virtually all predic- tions, the Democratic National Front (FDN), led by its presidential candi- date Cuauhtemoc — Cardenas, scored substantial gains in Mexico’s July 6 national elections. More significantly, the unity and strength achieved by the left and democratic forces, combined with the collapse of mass support for the ruling Institutional Revolu- tionary Party (PRI), are destined to change the face of Mexican politics for decades to come. PRI, the populist party which has main- tained a stranglehold over Mexican domes- tic politics for almost six decades, suffered a humiliating moral and political defeat. Only electoral fraud and last-minute “‘alchemy” of the election results appear to have sal- vaged a narrow victory for presidential can- didate Carlos Salinas de Gortari and the ruling PRI. The final “official” tally from the Federal Electoral Commission, released after sev- eral unexplained delays one week later, gave Gortari 50.3 per cent of the vote, Cardenas and the FDN 31 per cent, and Manuel Clouthier of the pro-business National Action Party (PAN) 18 per cent. These results ran contrary to preliminary vote counts, mostly from urban centres, which showed Cardenas clearly in the lead. Judg- ing from all available evidence, the “cook- ing” of election returns occurred primarily in rural precincts where the opposition par- ties had difficulty monitoring the vote. The election results and the accompany- ing commission report were immediately repudiated and formally protested by all Opposition parties. Cardenas told a protest rally of 250,000 supporters in Mexico City July 16 that the FEC election results were a crude attempt to overturn the real outcome of the election and constituted “‘a technical equivalent of a coup d’£tat.” Electoral fraud is hardly new to Mexican politics: it has been regularly practiced for decades and had until recently been an accepted, if unsavoury, norm. Public opin- ion has now dramatically changed, how- ever, as reflected in a poll taken just days before the election in which 87 per cent of urban residents anticipated vote-rigging, but stated that it could or should no longer be tolerated. Salinas de Gortari had initiallypromised a fair election but, confronted with a serious challenge to its continued rule, the PRI- controlled state apparatus reverted to old patterns. Printing houses were ransacked, ballots stolen, and opposition workers and offices attacked. In the most serious provocation, Carde- nas’ election co-ordinator, Francisco Xav- ier Ovando and his secretary were brutally assassinated just days before the election. With the campaign nearing an end, Ovan- do’s final project was organizing the FDN’s country-wide efforts to monitor the elec- tions and prevent fraud. The attackers took all pertinent election documents but left money and personal belongings behind. While the “alchemists” may have tem- porarily salvaged the situation, PRI has nonetheless suffered its most humiliating setback in its 59 years of power and major cracks are appearing in the base of the rul- ing coalition. PRI has historically main- tained its monolithic rule by controlling such key mass organizations as the National Confederation of Campesinos (peasants and agricultural workers) and the Mexican Workers Confederation (CTM). This time however, in spite of repeated appeals from campesino and labour offi- cials, rank-and-file workers and peasants deserted PRI in droves, the vast majority shifting allegiance to the left opposition par- ties. On election night, De Gortari was 6 e Pacific Tribune, August 17, 1988 ‘Mexico will never be the same’ as left gains ground TOP: PRI presidential candidate Carlos Salinas de Gortari who narrowly won elec- ed tion. ABOVE: Cuauhtemoc Cardenas (r) at the funeral for his election co-ordinator, assassinated during the campaign. forced to admit “the days of effective one- party rule (by PRI) are gone forever.” The populist “consensus” which has maintained PRI in power for decades, crumbled under the weight of the continu- ing economic crisis in the country. Slow economic growth, combined with depressed world prices for Mexico’s oil and other natural resources, has _ sharply reduced government income. As a result, Mexico’s foreign debt has more than doubled in recent years, and the increased cost of debt servicing has largely been met at the expense of domestic economic and social programs, further aggravating already high levels of unemployment and poverty. It has also placed tremendous downward pressure on the national currency — the peso — which today retains only ‘200th of its 1975 value on world exchange markets. Economic disproportions have deepened the gulf between classes and heightened social tensions. Outgoing President Miguel de la Madrid recently conceded that the disparities “have translated into disturbing social imbalances, the result of which has been an unequal and unjust society”. PRI’s answer to the crisis has been to shift its economic strategy sharply to the right, opening up Mexico to greater penetration by foreign goods and multinational invest- ment, rationalizing public services and pri- vatizing government concerns. The government also initiated a “‘solidar- ity pact” between labour, business and government to keep rampant inflation in check by controlling wages and prices. The “pact” has come under increasing criticism, however, because while all wages in the country have been frozen since April, only a limited number of “essential” goods have been controlled. The price of most other “non-designated” goods has skyrocketed, drastically undercutting the purchasing power of the people. Salinas de Gortari, Minister of Budget and Planning under the previous adminis- tration and architect of this market-oriented economic strategy, is the main representa- tive of the right-wing tendency within PRI, but faces stiff opposition from other, more nationalist groupings within the ruling coa- lition. Last year, Cuauhtemoc Cardenas led many followers out of PRI to establish the “Democratic Current” and joined with other left and democratic parties in demanding alternative policies of social and political reform. Over the period leading up to the July 6 elections, discussions were held with other progressive opposition forces and the National Democratic Front was formed. The key development which ensured a co-ordinated and unified campaign of the left forces however came just one month prior to the elections. The Mexican Socialist Party (PMS), the largest and best organized _ left party in the country, made an historic decision to withdraw its own presidential candidate, Heberto Castillo, from the race and throw its full support behind the Car- denas campaign based upon an agreed- upon 12-point program. The program called for the elimination of the corporatism-dominated system, full civil liberties, a ban on all forms of discrimi- nation, proportional representation and an independent, non-aligned foreign policy. Most important, it called for the suspension of all foreign debt service until more favou- rable terms can be negotiated with credi- tors. The-emergence of a broad unity among the major left and democratic forces in the country may well be the most significant outcome of the 1988 elections. While the individual parties fielded their own candi- dates for elections to the all-important Chamber of Deputies and for state and : left forces began co-operation in earnest local offices, they united behind a single dramatic campaign for the presidency: Furthermore, they have agreed to maintal? close co-operation after the elections, at the PMS and the Democratic Current have undertaken serious talks aimed at a possible merger. The road to unity was outlined by Gel ardo Unzueta Lorenzana, editor-in-chief 0 the PMS’ weekly organ, La Unidad, in a? interview with the Tribune. Lorenzana said: “While the left and patriotic forces have | been sizable for many years, they have bee? plagued by division and sectarianism whi¢ weakened their impact on domestic polit ics.” He pointed out, for instance, that in 1968, there were over 70 left-wing political organizations in the country, with little oF no co-operation among them. | Realizing the need to overcome disunity: the Mexican Communist Party and othe! and succeeded in jointly electing 17 deputies in the 1979 elections. “This experience, Lorenzana said, “created the conditions for a larger unification of the left.” In 1982, The United Socialist Party of Mexico (PSUM) was formed, uniting th¢ MCP with three other left parties. While th unification process was far from smooth, it nonetheless took hold and paved the way for further unitary actions. In the 1985 elections, a broader allian@ of left parties was initiated by PSUM, a? included the Mexican Workers Party, thé Party of Revolutionary Patriotism, the Union of Left Communists and the Revol” tionary Movement of the People. + alliance subsequently led to the formatio? of the PMS in 1987. Current efforts to unite the PMS with th° Democratic Current “reflect a move '— reconstruct political alignments, buildif? unity with the leftist, anti-imperialist for within the PRI.” Lorenzana stated that in the wake of the elections, the situation in Mexico is com pletely different from previous times. “It is4 new stage, with big changes .. . the chang® will of necessity also be reflected within the trade union movement and the peasa? organizations.” These shifts are already in evidence. The CTM recently announced plans to call @ nation-wide general strike on August 15 10 | protest the electoral fraud and the declining | living standards of the workers. | “For us,” Lorenzana concluded, “th? road to socialism must pass through the stage of democratization of the politic#, | regime. These changes are necessary 4! | inevitable”. ie ee ee ieee ee Oo” feet gy > A fe et ee eee ,