PAGE 14, THE HERALD, Tuesday, May 16, 1978 Island due for quake Vane. VICTORIA (CP) — Ii, as experts predict, upper Vancouver Island is hit by a severe earthquake within the next five years, scientists may be able to pinpoint where the biggest shock will occur. The federaj depart- ment of energy, mines and resources has set up 20 testing stations in the island's most quake- prone zone to measure minute variations in gravity which may throw some light on the cause of earth shocks on the island. Dr. Herb Dragert, an earth physicist with the federal government who has worked on the quake identification project, said that historically it appears that the Van- couver Island quake belt gets hit with a major shock every 30 years and one is due anytime now. He said his work in- volves the theory of plate tectonics, or the shifting of subterranean layers of rock, which may produce earthquakes. Geodynamic physicists believe a layer of rock has worked itself under the edge of the plate beneath Vancouver Island and is causing a slow and imperceptible tilting of the island toward the mainland. CAN BE MEASURED With sensitive in- struments like gravity meters, this subtle change can be measured over a long period of time in centimetres, Dragert said the tilting speeds up before an earthquake occurs and over a number of years the network of measuring stations can record the Minute changes which take place before earth stress erupts into a quake. ; In some _ countries, China for instance, the erratic behavior of animals is taken as an in- dication of a coming earthquake. The theory is that animals are sen- sitive to sudden sub- terranean changes un- noticed by man. 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