7 Perestroika: What happens to the jobs? As Soviet industry plunges into an era of economic restructuring and accelerated technological and scientific growth, the Society has suddenly found itself forced to contemplate new difficulties both ‘unex- pected and perplexing. Prominent among these: how to deal with the estimated 16 million workers who are almost certain to be displaced from their traditional jobs over the coming decade? The last labour exchange in the Soviet Union was shut down in 1930, and several generations have grown up thinking of unemployment as a thing of the past. Indeed, as a social guarantee, the right toa job is enshrined in the Soviet constitution and, with the exception of people briefly between jobs, there has been nothing that could be described as unemployment in the USSR for the past 60 years. Nor, according to the country’s leading bodies, will there be in future. A joint state- ment issued last January by the Central Committee of the Communist Party of the Soviet Union (CPSU), the USSR Council of Ministers and the Central Council of Soviet ' Trade Unions made it plain that “the right to work is a major gain of the people and an indisputable advantage of socialism,” which must not be eroded. However, the state- ment went on, vast changes in the structure of the workforce and the country’s eco- nomic infrastructure cannot be avoided, and a concerted society-wide program will have to be set in place to deal with them. It is important to recognize the difference between the political right to a job and the ‘full and efficient social utilization of labour, notes Vladimir Lubitsky, a Pravda journal- ist specializing in economic sociology. “We have had a somewhat dogmatic understanding of the ‘right to work’ in the Past, often seeing it as the right to hold a particular job forever,” he says. “In conse- quence, although everyone has been occu- pied in a paying position, many, many people have been receiving wages for per- forming unproductive work. : “In a strictly economic sense, we could call this ‘hidden unemployment’. We failed to see that this hurts both the society and the interests of the individual worker in the long run.” The economic reforms now underway have transferred the bulk of Soviet industry onto the “hozraschot” system of cost accounting and self-management — a new set of rules that gives enterprises an imme- diate incentive to shed excess workers. Over a longer period of time, a much more rapid rate of technological upgrading can be expected to keep the workforce in a state of flux and turnover such as it has never expe- rienced. At least three million jobs will become redundant in industry by 1990, if plans for economic renovation are fully realized. Even more drastic cuts are scheduled to hit the Soviet Union’s swollen bureaucratic apparatus. Present intentions are to slash central staff by 40 per cent, and functionar- ies employed by the republics by a full 50 per cent. Only the local or community administrated services will experience mod- erate growth. As with any process, this mass disloca- tion of workers has two sides to it. On one hand, say economists, it is to be welcomed for its effect of liberating people from menial work — almost 50 per cent of 6 e Pacific Tribune, September 7, 1988 Soviet workers still perform essentially manual labour — and for the immense growth in productivity and social wealth that will accompany it. On the other hand, as Novosti Press eco- nomic observer Vitali Dymarski points out, “displacement can be a difficult and painful experience for any person, despite all possi- ble measures of protection. Our Soviet workers are not accustomed to changing jobs, although all indications are that in future people will have to get used to doing so five or six times in a lifetime.” So, what are the measures, both long- term and short-term, that are being pre- pared to deal with this, probably the biggest upheaval in the structure and consciousness of the Soviet workforce since the country underwent rapid industrialization in the 1930s? Before going into this, economists take care to stress that just now the question of creating new jobs is not a burning issue. The Soviet economy suffers from a perennial labour shortage: at this moment there are about one million jobs looking for appli- cants. Over the longer haul, they say, there are many reasons to believe that with conscious and well-considered economic policies jobs .. will continue to appear faster than they are eliminated. First, while great numbers of Positions are going to be phased out in industry, poli- cies of horizontal expansion may keep a large proportion of those displacements localized within a given industry, or even a given enterprise. Vocational training pro- grams are being upgraded and expanded to retrain workers before they lose their jobs to meet the more skilled and demanding types of work they will encounter in the factories of the future. Investment in consumer industry has been dramatically stepped up following a ROBOTS AT WORK ... upgrading Soviet industry presents new challenges for perestroika. goods and services, they are expected to increase up to an optimum 25 per cent. Third, the USSR is the world’s largest country — by far — and it is blessed with vast stretches of territory as yet undeve- loped. It is part of ongoing Soviet policy to - Open up these areas, not just to economic exploitation, but to modern, comfortable human habitation. However, notes Lubitsky, there is a right way and a wrong way to accomplish this. “A good example of a distorted approach was the construction of BAM (the Baikal- Amur railway) in Eastern Siberia during the 1970s. There all of the priorities were accorded to production, and not to building up human facilities such as schools, roads, housing, commercial networks, hospitals, Fred Weir CPSU decision in August, and henceforth even defence and heavy industrial enter- prises will be obliged to expand into produc- tion of household items and everyday commodities. This will absorb a good deal of displaced labour (notes Lubitsky) as will the addition of afternoon and night shifts across many sectors of Soviet industry — which at present averages only 1+ shifts per factory. Second, there is an enormous unsatisfied demand in the tertiary sector of the Soviet economy, where the traditional labour shortage is also most acute. Here millions of future jobs can be expected to open up. Furthermore, notes Dymarski, this will occur not only because of the present signif- icant growth in state expenditures for health, education, child care and so on, but also through the less structured, grassroots expansion of consumer co-operatives and individual labour projects. While these lat- ter forms currently account for barely one per cent of the Soviet economy’s output of FROM MOSCOW etc. So now the railroad exists, but there is little life .... “We need to put human needs in the foreground, and develop our vast territories by providing incentives of all kinds for peo- ple to go there. We have to make new places into good places for people to live.” Fourth, and most important, there will be tremendous expansion — which will become increasingly significant over time — in the social sphere. For instance, the Soviet educational system is presently in the midst of a painful restructuring that will broaden its facilities, become far more flexi- ble in its approaches, and respond creatively to the fast-paced demands of the scientific and technological revolution. “Nowadays we need to think in terms of a continuous cradle-to-grave educational process,” says Dymarski. “A far greater proportion of the workforce will have to have higher education. Keeping people in school longer will naturally reduce the quantity of people looking for work while increasing their quality.” A number of other social measures will have a similar effect, economists say. These include early retirement for women and some types of workers, longer vacations, lengthened maternity leaves, and a shorter work week — already being introduced into some industries, such as coal mining. “Marx said that a society’s well-being can be measured by the amount and quality of leisure time it affords its people,” says Dymarski. “Though this is looking into the longer perspective for us, we need to begin to build into our education system and social life a consciousness of this principle, and teach people to use leisure creatively as well as work.” In the immediate term, being displaced from a job can bea jarring experience, anda number of provisions have already been put into place to try to ease the transition for individual workers. “Those released from jobs will receive one month’s severance pay, plus two months’ full salary for the time required to secure a new position. This can be extended as necessary,” says Lubitsky. “Responsibility for finding the new job lies not with the worker himself — though he/she may search on his own — but first with the employer who is dismissing him, and second with the new, ramified system of employment exchanges that is being set up. These will be clearing houses for informa- tion, designed to match workers with job openings or retraining courses. They will be managed by local Soviets, which is to say they will be under democratic community control,” Lubitsky points out. How all of this will function when the stresses and strains of restructuring really start coming fast and furious remains to be seen. Yet most Soviet economists scoff at the idea that the USSR is likely to feel the pressure of any labour surplus, at least in this century. “Tt’s clear that any particular individual might be unemployed ai some particular time,” says Lubitsky. “But unemployment as a social phenomenon cannot appear. We have too many things to do. Our restructur- ~ ing itself has pointed to a vast constellation of tasks we have to perform — as long as health and energy hold out.”