On January 1 the Canada Pension Plan went into effect. Long advo- cated by progressive and labor circles, the winning of the plan immediately up some new problems for thousands of workers in dozens of indus- tries all over B.C. What happens to existing boss-employee pension schemes? Should a worker “cash in and get out”? Should he stay in and try to have the private plan integrated with the Canada Pension Plan? Below is how the PT’s financial writer, EGBERT, answers these and other questions. A statement by Wm, Mercer and Company estimated that British Columbia workers will be or are withdrawing some- thing like $30 million of contri- butions from Pension Funds this winter, Until now, pension contribu- tions once made were frozen under income tax regulations until the contributor either retired or left his employment, With the ad- vent of the Canada Pension Plan, the government has given. all contributors until March to draw out their contributions to private company plans if they feel that the new government pension will be adequate for their needs, It is, of course, the individual worker’s own affair if he wants his money now rather than leave! it to buy him a pension later, The tragic feature ofthe situa- tion, however, is that thousands of workers are taking their money on the basis of inadequate in- formation, or in many cases, misinformation. For example, although few company plans are as generous as they appear on the surface, nevertheless in the typical case a worker who draws his money will thereby forfeit an approx- imately equal amount contributed by his employer, By his action, he relieves the employer of responsibility for providing for his retirement, Perhaps in time, collective bargaining will right the situa- tion by the provision of non- contributory pensions such as now. exist at Cominco in the Kootenays and on the West Coast waterfront, But for the individual worker now covered by a contributory plan, this is a gamble, The situation is providing a bonanza for Mutual Fund sales- Top level meet slated in Nigeria A meeting of Commonwealth Prime Ministers has been scheduled to deal with the Rho- desian crisis, it was reported this week, Indications from Ot- tawa were that Prime Minister Pearson would attend the confer- ence, to be held in Lagos, Ni- geria beginning January 11, While complete figures were not immediately available, it ap- peared certain that a minimum of 18 countries would be represent- ed at the meet — and probably more, Purposes ofthe so-called Com- monwealth summit is to review the sanctions so far undertaken against the illegal white settler regime of Jan Smith and consider what other steps could be taken to bring down his racist govern= ment, Spearheading the drive for such a conference were the African members of the Commonwealth, DR. KENNETH KAUNDA and the decision for the parley to go ahead came amidst conflicting reports that a “Rhodesia dead- line” had been set, Commenting on the Rhodesian problem, Zambia’s Prime Min- ister Kenneth Kaunda stated at the year end that Britain -and Zambia have agreed on a time limit to bring down the Smith regime by economic sanctions and, that if these fail, military means would have to be con- sidered, Kaunda said he could not re= veal when the time limit would expire. Zambia’s own’ limit, which he had earlier set, expired shortly before the close of 1965, “But the British government came back with certain arguments which we thought reasonable, so we are waiting for that date,” he told a news conference in Lusaka, Asked whether Britain had agreed with the new time limit, he said: “This time was suggested by the British govern- ment and I had to alter my own, I think so, I had taken it as agreed,” But if such agreement had been reached, the Wilson government was being extremely reticent about admitting it, Arthur Bot- tomley, Commonwealth Relations Secretary, commented on behalf of the government that it was not possible to be “precise about the time it will take” for sanc- tions against Rhodesia “to exert a decisive effect.” Meanwhile, Premier Verwoerd of South Africa has attacked the economic sanctions against the Smith regime and announced that: South Africa would not join in them, men, Literally hordes of these are going about the province persuading workers to draw out their money and invest it in mutuals, This is done with ridicu- lous promises of high rates of return, The salesmen of one major fund calmly assure potential cus= tomers that their fund pays the equivalent of 17 percent com- pound interest, Now, it is obvious that a couple of thousand dollars left to ac- cummulate at 17 percent for 15 or 20 years willbuy a larger pen- sion than the same amount left in a conventional pension plan, Supported by impressive looking prospectuses and suitable quotes from the Financial Post, this pitch frequently does the trick, What is a Mutual Fund? A mutual fund is a kind of syndicate which peels the savings of its subscribers for the pur-, chase of a diversified portfolio of common stocks. In the usual contract, as dividends are re- ceived they are credited to the subscribers and used to purchase additional stock, When a subscriber wishes to withdraw from the fund, he is paid off at the “net asset value”— that is, at the market value on that particular day of his share of the pooled portfolio, Thus, his equity in the fund at any given time will reflect and be influenced by two factors: (1) Capital gains (or losses) in accordance with the fluctuations of the stock market, and (2) Accumulated dividends, The argument is that an in- dividual buying common stocks is gambling, but that a large fund which can buy an assort- ment of stocks is taking com- paratively little risk, since (it is alleged) the average tendency of stocks is to go up. How and why did they grow? The first mutual funds were started in Canada about 1950 and they have now grown to be a billion dollar business, Their rapid growth has been accomplished on the basis of demonstrated results. Depend- ing on what time interval is chosen, various mutual funds can show returns averaging eight, ten or 12 percent per year, Salesmen representing one fund have approached people with prospectuses showing 17 percent, This result, however, is ac- complished by assuming the pur- chase was made at the bottom of the 1957 market slump and sold at the all-time peak of the market in the spring of 1965, Alter the purchase and sale dates by one year and the rate of return is approximately halved! The biggest mutual fund shows on the average over the period 1950 to 1962 an average re- turn of eight percent, including capital gains, Socineseresnesiinemsinsenitassaioacdasn take eee ee Don’t rush to cash in your pension F Mutual Funds—a modern Ponzi Well, what’s wrong with a re~ turn of eight percent, the average worker might ask? There are few investments available to small investors that will equal it, The joker is that the period 1950 to 1965, which encompasses the entire life span of the mutual fund business, has been one of unprecedented stock market gains, In the past, stocks have moved up and down in accordance with general business conditions but with a slow, long term upward tendency, But from 1950 to 1965, stocks on the average more than tripled in price—-a bigger gain than they had made in the pre- ceding half century! This phenomenal rise in stock prices can be attributed to two causes—gradual inflation and the activity of the mutual funds, As long as there is a high demand for stocks, their price will tend to rise. With hordes of salesmen going about signing people up for the mutuals, large sums of money are coming into the mutual fund offices every month for the speci- fic purposes of buying stocks. This keeps the price of stocks rising. The price of the stocks enhances the capital gains of the mutuals and makes them still more attractive. Thus, the up- ward cycle feeds on itself, Can it go on ‘indefinitely? Of course not, In this respect, it is reminiscent of the old time Ponzi racket, It will be recalled that Ponzi lured investors to place their money with him on the promise of 20 percent interest. And the original investors got their 4 percent, all right. This was a0 complished quite simply—meré!) by giving them back one-fill of their own money, However, when the word around that Ponzi actually paying 20 percent interest, mo flooded into his office, Neverthe less, it would have been onlJ) a short time until the pyramidint interest payments exceeded thé new money coming in and th ‘racket would have collapsed. Ponzi averted that catastrophe by fleeing to Brazil and taking the investments with him, The mutual fund promoters at not going to decamp, Nor wi they go bankrupt, because the liability to their investors w automatically drop if and w! the market drops, But mati people may nevertheless los¢) their savings, Are stocks ever ‘sound’? One barometer of the sound ness of the price of stocks is th dividend rate, If stocks rise ove a period of time and still pa’ dividends which remain a mor or less constant percentage 0 the current price, that price may | be considered sound, But in this period, that has been far from true, In the early 1950s, the dividend’ rate of the leading mutuals was" approximately five percent, In 1965, it is approximately two and one-half percent, This means that the capital gains of past years have not been based on a real rise in the value of the assets, — but merely on the speculative — hope of further capital gains in the future. | pt Se 2 January 7, 1966—PACIFIC TRIBUNE—Page 12