The U.S. argument for not signing the Salt-II agreement is that the USSR is ahead in strategic weapons. Are they? | Have they ever been? Who leads and who catches up? Here is a portion of remarks by Townsend Hoopes, former U.S. under-secretary of the Air Force made to a national conference of the Committee for National Sec- urity held last November: : * * * ... Itis basic to understanding of our present predica- Ment to appreciate that, from the beginning of the nuc- lear era, they have repeatedly strained their scientific and material resources to catch up with us in the nuclear arms race — not, I think, so they could initiate nuclear - War, but so they would not be subject to the coercion of our nuclear dominance. Time and again they have drawn ‘Near to a position of rough parity in order to establish the necessary condition (as they see it) for a genuine arms determined American breakthrough which catapulted. = United States into yet another significant weapons ead. They were not first to deploy MIRV, or to proclaim a Counterforce doctrine, or to develop long-range cruise Missiles. In numbers of launch vehicles they have now Overtaken us by a small margin, but the supposition that they are driving to achieve a position of supremacy from which to intimidate and coerce us — or if the mood suits them, to attack us — is based on highly abstract war- gaming, unrelated to the political realities of decision | making in the Kremlin. It is also based on the thinnest documentation. The Soviet leadership is fully aware of -the futility and peril of trying to corner the other super- Power. The strongest evidence of this is their signing of the SALT II agreement and their adherence to its terms Over the past 18 months, while our own. fragmented System has fumbled with the question of ratification. The most significant fact about the treaty, painstak- Teflects an agreed balance point, a shared perception of tion agreement, only to be faced with yet another - ingly negotiated over a period of many years, is that it’ Scuttling the.myths behind the arms race an acceptable strategic equality as between the parties. The two forces are not precisely equal; there are asym- metries in the shape and mix and number of weapons, but these reflect different perceptions of need and different problems — for example, the USSR confronts not only NATO Europe and the United States, but also China — and the asymmetries are not strategically important. — The treaty by its terms breaks the momentum of the present Soviet buildup, a fact of which the Soviet leaders are hardly unaware. By signing the treaty, they affirmed their willingness to freeze their ‘‘heavy”’ missiles, to limit warheads per missile to about one-third of the number that these missiles could carry, and to accept an overall limit on land-based MIRVs. Taken together these agreements for the first time place a finite ceiling on -the Soviet ICBM force, which poses the principal threat tous. This, I submit, is evidence both of progress in arms control and of a Soviet desire for restraint. Yet opponents argue that these advantages are “‘illus- ory,’’ and that we must not turn up the arms race as a means of forcing the Soviets to accept a treaty more favorable to the United States. It is difficult to imagine a more reckless and naive proposal by those who presum- ably desire genuine arms control, or a more cynical and irresponsible proposal by those who reject any accom- modation and who seek a permanent and relentless arms race until, as they suppose, the USSR drops out from exhaustion. There are opponents of the treaty in both categories. If we take this road, let us not pretend ignorance of where it leads. The Soviets will not stand still while we up the ante. . .. And by this process of reciprocal escala- tion, the world will become an ever more dangerous place. The insecurities will grow exponentially as the number of warheads increase, as the missile accuracies improve, and as the absence of arms control agreements leave both sides without any rational or finite framework within which to determine the adequacy ofits own deter- rent forces. As someone else has well said, we will be yWategic nuclear Challenge and response « @ Mx ICBM « i 2 Peay pie csheegs e > Mx 12A ¥ cic mt FBS Forward Based Systems t minv @ SLCM — Submarine-Launched Cruise Missile ALOM @ ICBM — tntercontinental Ballistic Mivsile asec SLBM — Subinanne-Launched Ballistic Missle IRBM - Intermediate-Range Ballistic Mivile MV - Multiple Reentry Vehicle MIRV . Multiple Independently Targetable Reentry Vehicle ' ALCM Air Launched Cruine Missile GLOM Ground Launched Crise Misile | SSBN —Nuclear-Fowered Ballistic Missile Submarine woo 4 194s 1950 1980. 0 like two suspicious, heavily-armed blind men locked up in a dark room, with a capacity to inflict infinite damage on each other and all of the furniture. And the rest of the world, seeing that the super-powers are incapable of rational restraint and accommodation, will intensify their own efforts to build and deploy nuc- lear weapons. That such a prospect now confronts us is a measure of the erosion, that reason and proportion in our national dialogue have suffered in recent years. It is equally a measure of the difficulty we face in efforts to restore an indispensable commonsense to that dialogue and to the making of national security policy. Such a restoration is the central purpose of the Committee for National Sec- urity. And we need your help. Under this banner the Canadian Peace Congress is conducting a Canada-wide ‘petition calling upon the Government of Canada to: Urgently press the United States for an early signing of a strategic arms limita- tion treaty and to start talks on limitation of medium-range nuclear weapons; work for simultaneous dissolving of all for- ame Marxism-Leninism Today V atfred Dewhurst Peace is everybody's business — What are some of the military provo- cations, in addition to the first-strike nu- clear policy, stemming from official ‘Washington? There is the non-rati- fication of SALT II, which took seven years to negotiate. There is the new ef- fort being made to produce and deploy the neutron bomb. There is NATO's long-term arms program which will swal- low up an additional $90-billion by 1995; cign-based military bases and banning of Chemical and germ warfare; actively Support the convening of a European Conference on military détente and disarmament, since it is the world’s most heavily armed area. * * * We, in turn, urge every reader of the Tribune to study this petition and if in agreement, sign it and get your work- Mates and friends to sign it also. We ask this because it is far beyond the re- Sources of the Peace Congress to under- take such a task alone. We ask you to take the petition to your place of work, to your union meeting or community Organization for endorsement and assis- tance in securing signatures. The Peace Congress has set a goal of One million signatures. It is an ambitious goal and necessarily so, because Canada is tied to the expansionist aims and milit- ary machine of the USA through NATO and NORAD. This being the case, the federal government, sensitive as it is to big business and reactionary Tory pres- sures, will not necessarily act to stem the _ drive to war. Therefore it is up to the ordinary people to help the Peace Con- gress reach the goal of one million names. The achievement of this goal would be a powerful expression of Cana- dian public opinion, that would assuredly be heard by those who hold the seats of power in our land. : : * * * We consider it to be a sacred respon- ‘sibility of concerned Canadians to make peace their business, for never has man- kind been so close to World War Three. The destruction, killing and maiming which occurred during World War Two would pale into insignificance in com- parison to that of a world nuclear war. As public consciousness becomes more and more aware that the world is teetering on the brink of a nuclear catastrophe, so mounts a growing tide of concern. Such concern is growing in volume with every passing day in the countries of western Europe —: Great Britain, the Federal Republic of Germany, France, Netherlands, Belgium, Denmark, Nor- way and Spain to mention some — as _ well as the United States, Japan and Canada. . In the socialist countries, public con- cern is unanimous that there must never be a world nuclear war. * #* * in western Europe hundreds of thou- sands of ordinary people are campaign- ing vigorously for the right of every man, woman and child to live in peace and security. While, at the same time, responsible public figures in both East and West are engaged in an unflagging search for ways and means to put new ‘life into the policy of détente and to break the deadlock on disarmament. On the other hand, the Pentagon bel- ligerently elaborates its military strategy based on a first-strike nuclear policy. For what? To regain world superiority in armed might to aid U.S. imperialism in its unrelenting drive to obtain greater power and influence throughout the world. Warlike threats directed against other countries and peoples are now al- most a daily White House occurrence. Since the Reagan administration came to power in the U.S., such threats are accompanied by cynical comments that there are greater and more decisive things at stake than to live in peace. * * * the creation of a rapid deployment force for action wherever so-called American interests dictate; the build-up of U.S. military strength in the Persian Gulf; and the boost in the construction of foreign- based U.S. military bases. All of these facts of military build-up and provocative actions by the U.S. . Government and military, are the basis of the deep concem that is building throughout the world. * * * To sign the Peace Congress petition, and to get others to sign, is an action to help prevent world nuclear war. It is an action to help end the dangerous arms race. It is an action to help open the way toward total and complete disarmament based on the equality of security for all countries big and small. It is an action to help peace triumph over war! 7 N.B. Get your copy of the Congress peace petition from your local peace committee, or write to the Canadian Peace Congress, - 671 Danforth Avenue, Room 301, Toronto M4J 113. - a PACIFIC TRIBUNE—APRIL 24, 1981—Page 5