Congress acts on Lithuania, presidency as tensions rise MOSCOW — Nerves were stretched to the breaking point last week as Lithuania unilaterally declated independence and the Congress of Peoples’ Deputies met in emer- gency session to make fundamental changes to the constitution and elect a new executive president. At least in its political aspect, perestroika is moving into the endgame phase. The Lithuanian move, though not entirely unexpected, was nevertheless a shock and a disappointment to an embattled Soviet leadership that has already conceded that republic’s major demands and promised to pass a law pro- viding a clear and feasible constitutional road to secession. Last week’s declaration has forced the issue in a manner that Gor- bachev quickly branded as “illegal and incompetent”, and has come at the worst possible time for almost everyone involved. Joined by the representatives of unoffi- cial Estonian and Latvian bodies — these are skating on much thinner legal ice — the Lithuanian parliament is demanding that Moscow enter into immediate negotiations on “restoring” the independence of the Bal- tic states, lost as a result of the Hitler-Stalin pact 50 years ago. The Sajudis-dominated parliament has already suspended Soviet law and replaced it with a temporary declaration based upon Lithuania’s 1938 constitution. Seemingly unstoppable consequences have begun to flow. Ethnically Lithuanian soldiers, for instance, are reported deserting from the ‘Soviet army in droves. Fred FROM MOSCOW Though Sajudis leaders claim they acted out of fear that the USSR’s new executive presidency might limit their future field of choices, it seems more likely that their haste was an effort to galvanize their own political will, and create “‘facts”’, in the face of almost insurmountable social, historical and eco- nomic obstacles (see box). The impact of this has been to reverse the process proposed by Gorbachev. He has held out a law on secession, a legal, constitu- tional set of procedures — like a divorce — that would give time for alternate arrange- ments, adjustments and settlements to be worked out culminating in full separation. Now it seems inevitable that this messy transformation must take place without any legal vehicles or constitutional order and in an atmosphere of acrimony and mutual intransigence. The Soviet leadership has ruled out the use of force in dealing with the breakaway republic — significantly, it was _Yegor Ligachev who went public to stress that only political means would be employed — and it seems likely that some sort of negotia- tions will develop. Early signs, however, suggest the man- oeuvering may well turn nasty. Gorbachev ruled out talks with Lithuania, saying: “We negotiate only with foreign states.” A spe- cial commission of the Supreme Soviet has been struck to formulate an_ official response. Meanwhile, Soviet officials have been hinting that Lithuania may get its wish of joining the world market just as abruptly as it declared independence: a transferring of accounts to hard currency payment at world market prices would spell economic cataclysm for the tiny republic. 8 e Pacific Tribune, March 26, 1990 At the session of the Congress of Peo- ples’ Deputies last week, fundamental constitutional pro- visions were trans- ~ formed and the So- viet political land- scape assumed a form that has the look of make-or- break permanence about it. The controversial Articles Six and Seven of the Brezh- nev constitution, which enshrined the Communist Party of the Soviet Union (CPSU) as the “leading force” of Soviet society were replaced by provisions that pave the way for a multi-party system to emerge and, more to the point, complete the legal process of separating the Communist Party from the Soviet state structure. For the record; the new articles read as follows: : Article Six: “The CPSU and other party, trade union, youth, social organizations, and mass movements, shall take part through their representatives elected to Soviets of Peoples’ Deputies, as well as in other ways, in shaping the policies of the Soviet state and in managing state and public affairs”. Article Seven: “All party and social org- anizations and mass movements performing functions envisaged in their programs and rules shall act within the framework of the constitution and Soviet laws. The creation of, or activities by, parties, organizations or movements that aim to forcibly change the Soviet constitutional system and the integ- rity of the socialist state, undermine its secur- ity or foment social, ethnic or religious strife, shall not be permitted.” At a Central Committee plenum of the CPSU just before the Soviet parliament met, Gorbachev spoke in sharper and more straightforward terms than ever before about his vision of how the Communist Party must be restructured and the role it should play in the new Soviet Union. He said: ““We regard the renewed Com- munist party as a union of communists shar- ing the same views and basing their activity on the creative development of the ideas of Marx, Engels and Lenin, a party of socialist choice reflecting the interests of the working class and all working people, a party which, through its program, is working to consoli- date Soviet multi-ethnic society. “We declare that the CPSU stands on the positions of internationalism and is open to co-operation with Communist and workers’ parties, with socialist and social democratic, liberal and national-democratic parties, with all public forces and movements that are for peace and social progress.” Closely linked to the abolition of the par- ty’s leading role in state affairs has been the . - project to create an executive presidency based roughly on the French and American models. Controversy around this point has been fierce, with radical “leftists” of the inter-regional group — who only last autumn were advocating the institution of a strong presidency — spearheading — the attack against the “concentration of poten- tially authoritarian power in the hands of one man.” The most outspoken of these, historian cum politician Yuri Afanasyev, called the idea an “extremely gross and grave political mistake.” He argued that treaties with those republics that wished to stay in the USSR should come first, and on the basis of pow- a ee ee Oa ee a eee GORBACHEV LANDSBERGIS ers delegated by those agreements, a USSR ‘presidency could be established. The problem was not a lack of authority in the present setup, he contended, ”but a lack of trust in that authority.” He added that the Gorbachev leadership is “once again relying on power” to the detriment of real solutions. But in the kind of push for panaceas that he has become famous for, Afanasyev also called on the Congress to “renounce the communist idea. Admit that the road trav- ersed by this country over seven decades has led it into the swamp”. In any event, even the old Article Six seems to have done better than the inter- regional. group when it came to voting. Some 164 diehards out of over 2,000 depu- ties voted to retain the party’s monopoly of power. Just 133 voted with Afanasyev to oppose the executive presidency. Gorbachev himself appears to have been a late convert to the idea of a separate execu- tive presidency, and embraced it only last December as crises mounted all around and existing structures of power proved too fee- ble or ineffectual to deal with them. As deputy Sergei Alexeyev noted, there is an urgent need for a strong presidential power to act as midwife at this critical stage of perestroika. “There is a paralysis of power in the country,” he said. “Old, obso- lete political structures are rapidly losing their power and authority, while the new state bodies have not yet acquired it. In these conditions the presidency is the only effective method to transfer power from party structures to state bodies.” The alter- native, many fear, could be anarchy. Said vice-president Anatoly Lukyanov: “The institution of presidency is an organic part of our efforts to complete the Soviet state structure at a time when perestroika has moved into its most crucial phase. It should serve as a means to enhance the efficiency of the entire mechanism of power, stability and law and order in the country .... We proceed from the premise that the Soviet state needs authoritative legislative bodies, a strong president, a vigorous government and an independent judiciary.” A last minute attempt to force the new president to resign his party positions was narrowly defeated, leaving leaders to ponder the reality that opposition to, and distrust of the party nomenklatura is run- ning very high. Although much of the party apparatus is now set to gradually be de-politicized and melt into what we in the West call the “civil service,” the several-decades long legacy of a single party fused with the state structure is still proving to be a tough nut to crack. Although most of the constitutional goals are almost within grasp, fully breaking out of that shell is going to be a long, hard and perilous operation. There is an old Russian saying that when God wishes to destroy people, he gives them what they’ve been praying for. Lithuania’s headlong rush to inde- pendence is almost unparalleled as an act of political will by a people with powerful historical grievances and a soaring sense of national awakening. But like all pray- ers finally answered, it may carry an unacceptable price tag: in this case con- stitutional crisis, economic trauma and possible political destabilization. Lithuania is seeking to restore its independence of a half century ago, yet it itself has changed radically while the world outside is altered beyond all recognition. In 1940, nearly 74 per cent of the Lithuanian population were engaged in agriculture, while just seven per cent worked in industry. Fifty years within the USSR have seen industrial output increase to 84 times the 1940 level, while the population has undergone a decisive sociological shift from country- side to city — with all the attendant edu- cational, social and psychological con- sequences. Lithuania’s economy today is inex- tricably integrated with that of the USSR. Of 103 key Soviet industrial sec- tors, Lithuania imports from 101 and exports to 83 of them. Lithuania meets 75 per cent of its energy requirements from other regions of the USSR (and pays 30 rubles for a tonne of petroleum versus the $110 (U.S.) it would cost on the world market). Last year, within the Soviet integrated economic complex, Lithuania imported 7.5 billion rubles worth of products and exported 6 billion rubles worth. Soviet authorities say many of these industries belong to the centre, and will be dismantled and shipped out of Lithuania in the event of separation. In any case, isolated from their traditional sources of materials and markets, they may prove worse than useless. With some 80 per cent of its popula- tion ethnically Lithuanian, Lithuania is one of the best-placed of Soviet republics to go for an exclusivist national solution. Yet it does have significant minorities, including Poles, Jews and Germans, who are also historically indigenous to the territory and many of whom — particu- larly the Poles — are becoming increas- ingly restive. Another significant minor- ity, immigrant Slavic workers, have also shown deep alarm at the rise of Lithua- nian nationalism. Moscow says that if Lithuania creates a refugee problem — which in the absence of fully democratic solutions it will do — it will be held financially liable for the consequences. Lithuania’s borders present another potential problem. Though the Lithua- nian parliament has loudly denounced the secret deal of the Hitler-Stalin pact, which led to the loss of independence, it has been silent over the undeniable fact that Lithuania itself was one of the minor beneficiaries of that accord. Under the terms of the 1939 secret protocol, Lithuania received its present capital, Vilnius, at the expense of Poland. It was also given the German port of Memel (Kleipedas) after World War II. Should instability set into the Euro- pean system again — and the Lithuani- ans are contributing mightily to such an outcome — Lithuania may well find | itself beset with territorial demands from Poland, Germany and Byelorussia. — FW.