FEATURE ~ ropelled by a rush of military propaganda being presented to the parliamentary committee on national defence hearings in Ottawa last week, the Tory government’s plans to construct and deploy 10 to 12 nuclear-powered submarines are moving forward with dangerous speed. Vice-Admiral Charles Thomas, commander of Canada’s Maritime Command and a key architect of the submarine acquisition program, presented all the familiar arguments to the parliamentary committee Feb. 2, insisting that the submarines are essential to uphold Canadian sovereignty, not to back up U.S. offensive strategy. Over the next several days, various other representatives of the Canadian Forces are expected to repeat them. But while the hearings will allow the opposition to ask some probing questions, the process is mainly a formality. Vice-Admiral Thomas and Defence Minister Perrin Beatty have already sold t! Conservative cabinet on the submar.nes and the acquisition program is being pushed forward quickly as part of the federal government’s new defence policy. Shortly after the policy was announced in June, the government opened negotiations with Britain and France, the two countries which have nuclear-powered submarine designs available to the Canadian Forces. In mid-January, the Defence Department stated that it would signing memorandums of understanding with the two countries over the next few weeks, paving the way for a decision on which submarine design will be used. On Jan. 18, the Financial Post reported that the five competing corporate groups in Canada vying for the $8-billion contract to build the subs were being encouraged to join forces to present just two bids to enable the Defence Department to speed up the decision on a contractor. Industry representatives have even talked of merging to make a single bid to speed the process even further and enable the government to get something in writing before an election must be called. The Post quoted one executive as saying: “We're operating from the principle that a delay in the program could kill it. There’s plenty of activity for everybody if we all merge.” As with the free trade agreement, the Conservative government appears determined to put in place at least the initial stages of the submarine program before any general election. In so doing, it is stonewalling the widespread opposition that there is among Canadians, not only to the government’s costly submarine purchase but also to its provocative defence posture, outlined in Beatty’s defence white paper. Clearly that opposition will have to intensify over the next few months if Canadians are to halt a program that could have an explosive effect in the current international atmosphere. For the submarine program is more than just the purchase of a dozen British Trafalgar or French Rubis-class vessels — it would put Canada on the front edge of a dangerous and ° controversial new U.S. maritime strategy and would be a major destabilizing force in East-West relations. It would also create upheaval in the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty, raise the spectre of nuclear accidents in Canadian waters and create a massive federal debt that would threaten social programs for years to come. Nearly a year ago, on Mar. 23, 1987, the New York Times reported that U.S. Navy Secretary John F. Lehman Jr. had earlier unveiled a “‘daring new maritime strategy.” According to the strategy, the Times said, “should war ever break out with the Soviet Union, the Navy plans to send submarines and aircraft carrier battle groups to the North Norwegian Sea and the Barents Sea, home waters for the Soviet Navy above the Arctic Circles. “A primary goal of this offensive would be to destroy Soviet nuclear missile submarines situated in the area and to prevent other submarines from pouring into the Atlantic,” the paper reported. Although the strategy was initially controversial within military circles because of the losses that might be sustained by the Navy, it has since been adopted — possibly because Canadian and other NATO submarines would be part of the strategy, on the basis of “NATO commitments.” Beatty, who described himself in a later Times story as “the most pro- American defence minister since World War II,” has skirted any discussion about participation in the U.S. strategy although he acknowledged in an article in International Conservative Insight that the submarines “‘can operate against missile-firing submarines that threatened North America.” Vice-Admiral Thomas also rejected a role in the U.S. forward maritime strategy although his answers avoided the real issue. He insisted that he would Defence con- tractor’s ad: corporate, Tory push for a costly, danger- ous program. Tories submarines propelling Canada into risky waters By Sean Griffin take orders from a US. officer only if instructed to do so by the federal government. In fact, several continental defence arrangements — including the maritime test range at Nanoose — provide for the U.S. to assume control in time of crisis. Whether participation in the maritime strategy is part of current policy is uncertain but once the submarines are purchased, Canada “could get sucked in,” Liberal defence critic Doug Frith has warned. And even if the federal government is not actively considering participation in the maritime strategy — an unlikely position considering its close links with the U.S. military — the Soviet Union, for its own security, would have to assume that Canada was involved. Unquestionably, the submarine program will escalate the arms race. Many key figures in the disarmament movement, including former UN disarmament representative William Epstein, have warned that acquisition of the nuclear-powered submarines could eventually lead to the acquisition of nuclear weapons. Beatty claimed in a letter to the Alberni Valley Coalition for Nuclear Disarmament that the suggestion was “totally without merit.” But considering how the Tory government will compromise its supposedly firm commitment to the Nuclear Non- Proliferation Treaty with the submarine purchase, those assurances ring somewhat hollow. Under the treaty, signed in 1968, nuclear materials, such as uranium, are to be used for peaceful purposes only and are not to be diverted to the production of “nuclear weapons or other nuclear explosive devices.” Under that provision, the government's plans to use uranium for its submarine reactors is theoretically not prohibited, even though the purpose in military. But prohibited or not, it would certainly violate the spirit of the treaty and would be completely without precedent in the 20-year history of the treaty. “As this has never been done before by a signatory to the treaty, let alone by a country such as Canada that has imposed some of the most stringent safeguards on its own exports of nuclear materials and technology, the negative impact on the nuclear non- proliferation regime could be _considerable,” warned John Barrett, the deputy director of the Canadian Centre for Arms Control and Disarmament. Also without precedent is the staggering cost of the submarine acquisition, currently estimated at $8 billion but widely expected to double or even triple by the time construction is complete. Financing that and other military hardware is expected to increase defence spending by more than five per cent above inflation every year, for the decade at least. Not surprisingly, the Tory government makes no mention of deficit reduction where military spending is involved. But it is a virtual certainty that social programs would be cut in direct proportion to increases in defence outlays. More than anything, the submarine program is indicative of the offensive, cold war tilt in defence policy adopted ‘by the Tory government in its white paper — a shift that is completely out of step with Canadian opinion. That was borne out last week in a public opinion poll commissioned by the Canadian Institute for International Peace and Security, whose executive director is Geoffrey Pearson, son of former prime minister Lester B. Pearson. The survey revealed that 90 per cent of Canadians rejected the view, advanced in the white paper, that the Soviet Union is the main threat to Canada’s security. According to UBC political scientist Donald Munton, who initiated the survey, only one Canadian in 10 holds a “cold war set of perceptions.” That overwhelming weight of public opinion has no doubt compelled the Tories to highlight “Canadian sovereignty” in their selling pitch for the submarines. But significantly, the one piece of hardware that does have some meaning for Canadian sovereignty — the Polar 8 icebreaker which is widely supported by Canadians — remains stalled at the letter of intent stage three years after it was announced while the submarine program is being hurried up. In fact nothing could be more damaging for Canadian sovereignty that to purchase the nuclear submarines. They would inevitably draw this country into a dangerous military strategy, disrupt the delicate balance of nuclear non-proliferation and tie a huge part of the federal budget to military expenditures. The danger is that, like the free trade pact, the Tory government may attempt to get the program underway before they are forced to go to an election. Canadians should do everything they can to see that it doesn’t happen. ‘PACIFIC TRIBUNE, FEBRUARY 10, 1988 ¢ 5