e Rapidly changing consumer tastes have caused a dramatic shift for sizes and grades of lumber in global markets. Tenure reform Continued from page fourteen more distant mills that can get more value from the log. 8. Switch to an end-product specific appraisal system. 4. Simplify the current appraisal system. adhe Terminate ie comparative me pricing system arc! eo 6. Legislate a proactive mill closure review policy. 7. Develop a made-in-B.C. lum- ber Brice index. 8. Reduce the stumpage sys- tem’s share of the profits from new higher value products. 9. Establish an accurate log grading system. 10. Switch to an efficient For- est Practises Code. ¢ Maintaining an Adminis: 1S Pricing S British Columbia is under no legal or moral obligation to switch from an administered stumpage pricing system to tim- ber auction sales. All of the 3 other peayinees that are covered by the .S.-Canada quota agreement have administered systems. Because the industries and governments in those provinces are basically happy with their current arrangements, no major panne are planned. How- ever, the U.S. Coalition gave its full tacit approval of those systems before t! auots agreement was implemented in April, 1996. ¢ Nor is British Columbia re- quired to maintain the current regional stumpage target rate system or comparative value icing. Both were introduced acci- Bantally because of the desire of the B.C. government in 1987 to perma- nently incorporate the 15 percent MOU export tax into the existing stumpage system. Neither has been adopted by the other three covered rovinces, and the U.S. Coalition as not insisted that they do so. However, target rate stumpage and comparative value pricing pose huge obstacles to the development of a value-added lumber industry in British Columbia. Chapter 4 of the paper describes the reasons that the B.C. Coast and Interior saw- milling industries need to undergo a massive technological upgrade in order to compete with the Scandinavians in global markets. Because coastal and interior timber has a heavy old-growth component, the fall- down rate during the kiln dry- ing process is close to 50 per- cent. Since it is currently difficult to detect internal defects in an old-growth log based on its outside appearance, the loss in grade makes it uneco- nomic to buck all logs to the cor- rect lengths for the Japanese market without the necessary scanning technology. e In Scandinavia, on the other hand, processing managed sec- ond-growth wood reduces the kiln drying falldown rate to 10 percent. Because second crop timber is generally of consistent quality throughout the log, the Scandinavians are able to carry out a very refined log sorting sys- tem. As a result, production in Swedish sawmills is highly spe- cialized. The mills are able to turn out higher quality lumber at significant wood and labor cost savings. e The Forest Industry Tech- nology Improvement Fund In order to assist the B.C. lumber industry to finance the technological upgrade which is needed to make it competitive in value-added global markets the government should set up a Forest Industry Technology Improvement Program (F.1.T.LP.). Under the F.I.T.I.P. approximately one-third of timber dues or piemnage payments should be chan- neled into a company’s individual trust fund account. All companies’ accounts should be managed by the industry according to strict guide- lines. There must be no government interference with the monies in the F.LT.LP., or with individual project approvals. e The kinds of proposals covered by the B.C. program should include intensive silviculture, the R and D work required to develop the neces- sary logging and manufacturing technology which is discussed in this study, and assistance with the acquisition of the new equipment when it has been sufficiently devel- oped for commercial application. e The best part of this pro- posal is that the industry will be required to invest the F.L.T.LP. money in its B.C. facilities. Plans to acquire or update operations outside the province simply will not qualify for project approval. That should help to slow down the flight of capital from the B.C. forest products industry to other provinces and U.S. states. As a result, B.C. companies should enjoy a better rate of return on their capital invest- ment. e Increased Value-Added Employment Since most specialized production is more labor intensive, the switch to value-added products will help to restore many of the manufacturing jobs that were lost in the process of improving efficiency for commodity output during the late 1970’s and s. ¢ Goals of Tenure and Stump- age System Reforms The key difference between our proposals for timber market reforms and those for timber auction sales is that under our program the current tenure sys- tem would remain in place. And stumpage rates would continue to be set by some form of adminis- tered system without regional target.rates and comparative value pricing. e The goal of the proposed reformed stumpage system is to create an efficient competitive open log market system once the timber has been harvested. Amendments should be made to the current stumpage system that will provide the economic incentive “to get the right log to the right mill.” That incentive must ensure the right of B.C. companies to share in the addi- tional rewards of carrying out value-added production, includ- ing the manufacture of higher- value lumber such as J-grade. If that reward is there, it should encourage B.C. companies to more accurately buck logs to length, to carry out more refined sorting for value and to engage in greater volumes of intercom- pany log trades. e Following this approach will permit the B.C. industry to avoid the speculative excesses that have characterized the pub- lic timber auction sales program in the U.S. West over the past 20 years. While timber auction sales may appear to have an aura of respectability, there is nothing efficient about having sawmills go out of business as a result of speculative bidding. Particularly when the situa- tion is aggravated by permitting unrestricted log exports. * Specialized manufacturing facilities should produce higher value products. sar sore st LUMBERWORKER/SEPTEMBER, 1999/15