EDITORIAL A-subs: myth & reality Long after Defence Minister Perrin Beatty has gone, along with his Tory friends, to his just reward in political obscurity, the country may be paying the bills for his education in the real world of defence spending. In the process, we may also get stuck with billions of dollars worth of useless nuclear submarines, a monument to this government's stupidity and cold war mentality. As happens so often in the pork-barrel world of the military-industrial complex, the weapons makers will pocket the money, leaving the dazed taxpayers to foot the bill. Fronting for an increasingly ambitious Canadian military brass anxious to play in the big leagues and an equally ambitious weapons industry looking for juicy contracts, Beatty and the Tory cabinet have produced an incredibly dangerous and expensive White Paper on Defence, a strategy to take Canada to the end of the century. . Included in the White Paper, which turns the clock back two decades to the old “Soviet threat” days of the 1950s and 1960s, is a provision for equipping the Canadian navy with 10-12 nuclear-powered submarines. The best guesses put the initial contract signing with contractors by 1990, with delivery dates well into that decade. But already the shell game begins: nine months ago, a figure of $5 billion was bandied about by the military for the U-boats. Today the Department of Defence speaks of $8 billion — a $3 billion hike in estimates in less than a year. There’s more: last week the Ottawa-based Centre for Arms Control and Disar- mament charged that DOD estimates fail to take into account huge expenditures connected to getting into the A-sub league. These inlude shore support infrastruc- ture, nuclear fuel, crew training, simulators, hull upgrading for Arctic duty, and spare parts. The centre’s report graciously left out another high-ticket expense that DOD itself admits will be needed — an independent submarine fleet communica- tions system requiring the use of at least one space satellite. Today’s estimate of $8 billion will barely be the down payment on tomorrow’s Canadian nuclear submarine fleet. A look at the incredible waste and outright theft that takes place in the U.S. which pours hundreds of billions down the drain for planes that don’t fly, tanks that don’t run, guns that don’t shoot and missiles that can backfire, shows the sort of swamp Beatty is leading Canadians into. As a reference point when dealing with the billions, consider that a Canada-wide childcare program would cost about $1 billion per year. _ A rational defence policy means basing it on the search for peace and mutual understanding with our neighbours. It means abandoning the “Soviet threat” myth, replacing it with a 1980s and 1990s policy based on the hard reality that no one will prevail in a nuclear war. It means actively pursuing nuclear disarmament and confidence-building measures. In short, it means going in exactly the opposite-direction Perrin Beatty and his U.S. friends want Canada to go. The Defence White Paper’s premise ’is fatally flawed; its A-sub option a dangerous and expensive fool’s game. ‘ IRIBONE EDITOR - Sean Griffin _ ASSISTANT EDITOR Dan Keeton BUSINESS & CIRCULATION MANAGER Mike Proniuk GRAPHICS Angela Kenyon Published weekly at 2681 East Hastings Street Vancouver, B.C. ver V5K 1Z5 Phone (604) 251-1186 Subscription Rate: Canada @ $16 one year @ $10 six months @ Foreign @ $25 one year Second class mail registration number 1560 lack of space and the pressure of particularly tight deadlines last week prevented us from including many of the Startling facts and figures about Canadian and U.S.-controlled industry that were part of publisher Mel Hurtig’s address to the rally against free trade last week. But at a time when Brian Mulroney, Pat Carney, Joe Clark and others are out on the door- to-door circuit selling the free trade deal and insisting that it will create a wealth of new jobs, it’s worth examining the statisti- cal reality. That’s especially important considering that some of Hurtig’s research has only had an airing before the parlia- mentary committee. Consider foreign takeovers, for exam- ple. In the period since Brian Mulroney’s election as prime minister in September, 1984 — when he declared Canada open for business — to June 30, 1987, a total of 1,657 Canadian companies have been taken over by foreign, mainly U‘S. owners, said Hurtig. The figure is the tang- ible result of the abolition of the Foreign Investment Review replacement by Investment Canada which, far from being a screen, has opened the door wide. But objecting to takeovers is only for shortsighted nationalists, the Tories retort. Foreign investment creates jobs. The statistics Hurtig outlined Wednes- day demonstrate just how utterly false that statement is. From 1978 to 1985, he pointed out, Canadian-controlled companies increased employment by 876,200 jobs. During the Agency and_ its” People and Issues same period, U.S.-controlled companies in Canada increased employment by only 1,400 jobs. , Put another way, he said, Canadian- controlled companies increased employ- ment by 16 per cent while U.S.-controlled companies managed only a 0.1 per cent increase in jobs. In the goods-producing sector, the test - of a country’s manufacturing stature, Canadian-controlled companies created 102,600 new jobs over the same period of time. U.S.-controlled companies actually reduced the number of jobs by 61,000. Those figures are even more startling when you contrast them with profits tacked up by the two groups. “For every billion dollars in profits that Canadian- controlled companies earned,” said Hur- tig, “they created 5,765 jobs. For every billion dollars of profit earned by U.S.- controlled companies, they created the grand total of 17 jobs.” - And that figure tells another story of the flight of profits across the 49th Parallel and the decline in Canadian employment that has accompanied it. According to Hurtig’s figures, U.S.-controlled compan- ies took fully one-third of all the corporate profits in Canada — yet they created less than one-tenth of one per cent of all the new jobs in Canada. Another revealing note came not by way of statistics but by a document that Hurtig cited in the course of his remarks. It was a confidential study on the impact of the free trade deal on various sectors of the Canadian economy, prepared over a period of a year and a half by one of the country’s leading chartered banks and leaked to Hurtig by an employee. Significantly, the report predicted that every sector of the economy, except one — the resource sector — would result in a “net negative” as a result of the trade deal. Why would a bank prepare such a report? Hurtig asked. For a simple reason — to determine in what areas the bank would not make new loans. In fact, the day before he went to Ottawa to appear before the committee, Hurtig added, he received a call from a friend in the Okanagan Valley who told him that banks were already beginning to cut off credit to grape growers — the group which even the Tories agree will be virtu- ally decimated by the free trade agree- ment. There was also one final statistic. Over the last 10 years, he noted, Canada’s Gross National Product has increased by 48 per cent. Over the same period, the GNP of’ the states in the U.S. which are situated along the Canada-U.S. border have increased by only 28 per cent. The main reason for the difference, said Hurtig, is that much of the area’s industry has been re-located to the so-called “sun belt” — the right-to-work states in the U.S. south. The question that neither Pat Carney or Donald MacDonald — or any of the other advocates of free trade has yet to answer, said Hurtig is: why would not exactly the same thing happen here under the free trade deal? Why, indeed. Questions like that — and the statistics that go with it — are part of the reason that the Tories have sought to bury all the details of the pro- posed agreement. * * * s has been noted on a child’s peace button that has been circulating around for a couple of Christmas seasons now, “Santa doesn’t like war toys.”’ And Santa will be taking that message to shoppers in New Westminster this week- end as the New Westminster Peace Council begins a campaign aimed at halting the sale of war toys in local stores. Together with council members and supporters, he’ll be outside London Drugs and Woodward’s stcres in New West- minster from 11 a.m. to 4 p.m., beginning Nov. 28 and 29 and continuing each week- end until Christmas. Anyone wanting to help out can call president Bev Mill at 525-4852. _ 4e PACIFIC TRIBUNE, NOVEMBER 25, 1987 SR REee aE gee Se a aT